2024-08-24T17:47:00+03:00 War in Ukraine 2024-09-17T04:06:42+03:00

Ukrainian news

Ukraine's operation in Kursk Oblast calls into question ability of russia to launch serious offensive by yeare

Ukraine's operation in Kursk Oblast calls into question ability of russia to launch serious offensive by yearend - media

Ukraine is carrying out an operation in the Kursk Oblast, which can buy the necessary time for the arrival of Western aid and the replenishment of Ukrainian forces. In addition, the invasion of Ukraine calls into question russia's ability to launch any serious offensive actions before the end of the year.

In addition, russia has few reserve units capable of resisting the maneuvering of Ukrainian armored vehicles in Kursk and Belgorod, notes Michael Bohnert, an engineer at the RAND Research Institute, in an article for The Telegraph.

"The recent Ukrainian operation in Kursk requires russia to strengthen its entire border. This requires tens of thousands of soldiers, hundreds of pieces of equipment and fortifications. The Kremlin will have to spend months attracting new recruits and replenishing supplies," Bohnert writes.

The invasion of Ukraine also affected russian air operations. Russian helicopters proved vulnerable to Ukrainian drones in Kursk, and Ukrainian drone strikes on airfields in western russia limited the presence of ground-based aircraft. Russian aviation is now forced to fly longer distances, trying to stop Ukraine in the Kursk Oblast.

"Russian ground and air forces are as dispersed as they've ever been in the entire war. This will slow down russian operations over the next few months," Bohnert adds.

The author also believes that Ukraine will have the opportunity to restore and rearm its forces in the period until the spring of 2025. For this, it is necessary to obtain a sufficient amount of Western aid, increase the number of Ukrainian strikes on russian airfields, energy infrastructure and logistics.